Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 4.953201 5.714112 6.551674 7.541880 8.680580 9.949113 11.469776
2024-12-15 4.048544 5.078895 6.309107 7.885819 9.853253 12.228041 15.314171
2024-12-22 3.242099 4.377744 5.833858 7.836964 10.521656 13.997552 18.844823
2024-12-29 2.858343 4.122841 5.851098 8.384195 12.003443 16.992282 24.402127
2025-01-05 2.503537 3.834175 5.761371 8.753357 13.283436 19.892286 30.284922
2025-01-12 2.147633 3.475009 5.502365 8.820244 14.117542 22.257166 35.742753
2025-01-19 1.760506 2.997490 4.982026 8.392277 14.110967 23.329558 39.357276
2025-01-26 1.601386 2.857871 4.967262 8.759002 15.411668 26.619847 46.991474
2025-02-02 1.508723 2.813233 5.097837 9.380503 17.217781 30.975341 57.035179
2025-02-09 1.368578 2.659871 5.013432 9.603606 18.344103 34.292780 65.702407
2025-02-16 1.235346 2.497021 4.885141 9.720606 19.280751 37.375047 74.345727
2025-02-23 1.077067 2.260248 4.582048 9.454494 19.439342 39.008238 80.419003
2025-03-02 0.924016 2.014616 4.234868 9.067223 19.338069 40.194770 85.934213
2025-03-09 0.844710 1.910682 4.158856 9.226531 20.381952 43.820171 97.012431
2025-03-16 0.743683 1.743477 3.925852 9.015876 20.609179 45.787585 104.863487
2025-03-23 0.712735 1.728968 4.021156 9.543976 22.538427 51.663906 122.201484
2025-03-30 0.671281 1.683269 4.039616 9.898864 24.125846 57.002803 139.108004
2025-04-06 0.613265 1.588250 3.929833 9.933905 24.966216 60.751707 152.829209
2025-04-13 0.530815 1.418980 3.617840 9.428339 24.419709 61.161910 158.507705
2025-04-20 0.506696 1.395975 3.662134 9.824487 26.184293 67.404874 179.693829
2025-04-27 0.498117 1.412880 3.809882 10.510702 28.796795 76.115740 208.516950
2025-05-04 0.468971 1.368849 3.792371 10.753914 30.272630 82.121089 231.063108
2025-05-11 0.437480 1.313161 3.735492 10.880686 31.450510 87.504667 252.713670